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Atletico Saguntino vs Alzira

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Climent D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 game between Atletico Saguntino and Alzira finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Saguntino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico Saguntino
6%
Draws
4%
Alzira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Saguntino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Saguntino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Saguntino a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 68%
Alzira Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Saguntino Alzira
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Alzira
1:0
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Atletico Saguntino
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Saguntino vs Alzira
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alzira vs Atletico Saguntino
2:1
Apr 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Saguntino vs Alzira
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Top Goalscorer Climent D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alzira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Saguntino 95 / 100
Alzira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Saguntino Alzira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alzira let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Saguntino scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico Saguntino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Saguntino VS Alzira
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Castellonense34207756:3067
2Atletico Saguntino34206850:3066
3Levante B341811554:2665
4Villarreal C34196963:3663
5La Nucia341613544:2661
6CD Bunol3413111034:4050
7Vall de Uxo3413101131:2949
8Ontinyent 1931 CF341391232:3048
9Torrellano341381340:3847
10Soneja341361535:4245
11Hercules B3410111331:4641
12Roda341171632:4540
13Crevillente349111444:4938
14Jove341081635:4438
15Atzeneta341071729:3937
16Utiel347101730:4531
17Alzira347101732:4931
18Recambios Colon342131927:5519