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Atletico Saguntino vs Benicarlo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Saguntino play Benicarlo in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Saguntino averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Benicarlo averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Saguntino won 1, Benicarlo won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 21, 2021 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Atletico Saguntino and 1.00 for Benicarlo. This points to a Atletico Saguntino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Atletico Saguntino
35%
Draws
21%
Benicarlo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Saguntino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Saguntino picked up more points recently compared to Benicarlo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 23%
Benicarlo Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Saguntino Benicarlo
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 20 5
Draws 9 14
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Benicarlo
2:2
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benicarlo vs Atletico Saguntino
0:1
Sep 27, 2020 Club Friendly
Atletico Saguntino vs Benicarlo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Saguntino 44 / 100
Benicarlo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Saguntino Benicarlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Saguntino or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Saguntino attacking → ← attacking Benicarlo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Saguntino scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Benicarlo let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Atletico Saguntino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Benicarlo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 29
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Alzira20108229:1238
2Roda2098328:1635
3Atletico Saguntino20710330:2731
4Villarreal C20612232:1830
5Silla CF20510520:2125
6Recambios Colon2058716:1923
7Benicarlo20410622:2122
8Torrent2049717:2521
9Acero2048818:2520
10Paterna20311614:2520
11Vilamarxant20361113:3015
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eldense18125130:1141
2Ilicitano18115233:1738
3CF Intercity18107130:837
4Olimpic Xativa1874722:2425
5UD Beniganim1855814:3020
6Jove1854917:2319
7Crevillente1854917:2419
8Hercules B1846813:1718
9Villajoyosa1845917:2717
10Novelda CF18331215:2712