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Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Merida UD

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Atletico San Jose Promesas and Merida UD finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merida UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico San Jose Promesas
6%
Draws
90%
Merida UD
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merida UD come out ahead of Atletico San Jose Promesas on wins alone.
  • Merida UD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Atletico San Jose Promesas Clean Sheet 20%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Jose Promesas Merida UD
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Atletico San Jose Promesas
0:0
Oct 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Merida UD
0:0
Mar 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Merida UD
2:3
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Atletico San Jose Promesas
1:0
Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Atletico San Jose Promesas
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Jose Promesas 10 / 100
Merida UD 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Jose Promesas Merida UD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Atletico San Jose Promesas found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Merida UD conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Merida UD has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Jose Promesas VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Extremadura UD38278375:1489
2UD Badajoz38248667:2480
3Don Benito382310555:2379
4Diter Zafra382211557:2377
5Jerez CF3816111151:3759
6Merida UD3815111247:3856
7Ciduad de Plasencia3815101350:3855
8UP Plasencia3815101355:4755
9Santa Amalia381581552:5453
10CD Coria381491547:4851
11Atletico San Jose Promesas381461844:5848
12Pueblonuevo3811101741:6043
13Miajadas381271940:5643
14RCP Valverdeno381191840:5642
15Hernan Cortes381181936:6441
16Cacereno II3810101848:5740
17Fuente de Cantos381091942:6839
18Moralo387171433:5238
19Emerita Augusta38872344:7731
20Valdelacalzada38772435:6528