Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011

Olivenza CP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico San Jose Promesas play Olivenza CP in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico San Jose Promesas averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Olivenza CP averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico San Jose Promesas won 2, Olivenza CP won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 13, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Atletico San Jose Promesas and 1.50 for Olivenza CP. This points to a Atletico San Jose Promesas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Atletico San Jose Promesas

26%

Draws

26%

Olivenza CP

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Atletico San Jose Promesas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Atletico San Jose Promesas picked up more points recently compared to Olivenza CP.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Atletico San Jose Promesas Clean Sheet 16%

Olivenza CP Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico San Jose Promesas	Olivenza CP
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	6
Draws	7	9
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0.9	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.87
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Atletico San Jose Promesas vs Olivenza CP

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Olivenza CP vs Atletico San Jose Promesas

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Jose Promesas 46 / 100

Olivenza CP 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico San Jose Promesas Olivenza CP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico San Jose Promesas or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico San Jose Promesas attacking → ← attacking Olivenza CP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Jose Promesas scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Olivenza CP let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atletico San Jose Promesas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Olivenza CP lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 27

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villanovense	38	29	6	3	83:30	93
2	Sp. Villanueva	38	29	5	4	81:24	92
3	Arroyo	38	20	10	8	62:36	70
4	Jerez CF	38	18	10	10	61:32	64
5	Merida UD	38	15	13	10	48:32	58
6	Santa Amalia	38	15	11	12	55:49	56
7	Don Benito	38	16	8	14	48:47	56
8	Moralo	38	14	12	12	47:45	54
9	Miajadas	38	15	9	14	38:41	54
10	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:39	51
11	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	14	7	17	41:47	49
12	Diter Zafra	38	13	10	15	45:50	49
13	UP Plasencia	38	11	14	13	39:48	47
14	CD Coria	38	12	11	15	42:52	47
15	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	12	8	18	52:61	44
16	UD Badajoz	38	12	6	20	53:68	42
17	Valdelacalzada	38	10	9	19	38:52	39
18	CD Santa Marta	38	9	8	21	34:58	35
19	Olivenza CP	38	6	12	20	39:72	30
20	Imperio Merida	38	5	3	30	28:98	18