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Atletico San Luis U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Gonzalez R.
40' Event
Calero J.
81' Event
Rangel M.

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atletico San Luis U21
15%
Draws
28%
Cruz Azul U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul U21 haven't matched Atletico San Luis U21's recent run of results.
  • Atletico San Luis U21 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cruz Azul U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atletico San Luis U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis U21 Cruz Azul U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 0 1
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21
1:0
Aug 11, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico San Luis U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis U21 35 / 100
Cruz Azul U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis U21 Cruz Azul U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico San Luis U21 scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Cruz Azul U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Cruz Azul U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Luis U21 VS Cruz Azul U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico San Luis U21

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 11 7 0 4 18:13 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 11 7 0 4 18:14 21
5 Club America U21 11 6 0 5 17:14 18
6 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
7 Atlante U21 11 5 0 6 17:22 16
8 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
9 Monterrey U21 10 5 0 5 19:16 14
10 Juarez U21 11 5 0 6 10:12 14
11 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
12 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
13 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
14 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
15 Atlas U21 11 3 0 8 13:15 12
16 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 10 2 0 8 12:19 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)