Sport Picks
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
Mexico
Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Macias O. In: Meraz R.
Out: Macias O.
24'
24'
Aguirre D.
31'
31'
Ledezma R.
Assist: Alvarado R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico San Luis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas come out ahead of Atletico San Luis on wins alone.
- Atletico San Luis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 19%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico San Luis | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Atletico San Luis
4:3
Feb 27, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Atletico San Luis
0:1
Feb 5, 2024 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico San Luis Compare
Top Goalscorer Geraldino dos Santos Galvao J. P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Top Goalscorer Ledezma R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aguirre D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico San Luis 85 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico San Luis Guadalajara Chivas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico San Luis scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Atletico San Luis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico San Luis VS Guadalajara Chivas
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico San Luis
(Home) 18 Jul
Atletico San Luis
2 : 3 Cruz Azul
10 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
07 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0 Sporting FC
01 Jul
Atlas
0 : 1 Atletico San Luis
26 Jun
Queretaro
2 : 2 Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Atletico San Luis
2 : 3 Cruz Azul
10 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
07 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0 Sporting FC
23 Apr
Atletico San Luis
2 : 0 Santos Laguna
18 Apr
Atletico San Luis
0 : 2 UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas
(Away) 19 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Toluca
04 Jul
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas
17 May
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 2 Cruz Azul
14 May
Cruz Azul
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
10 May
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0 Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas
14 May
Cruz Azul
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
03 May
Tigres UANL
3 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
23 Apr
Necaxa
0 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas
11 Apr
Tigres UANL
4 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | 12 |
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)