Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sanchez A.
Own Goal
10' Event
Marin R.
Assist: Sepulveda A.
30'
Sub
Duarte A. In: Lucas Esteves
Out: Duarte A.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atletico San Luis
30%
Draws
43%
Guadalajara Chivas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas have won more games recently than Atletico San Luis.
  • Model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis Guadalajara Chivas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:3
Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Atletico San Luis
4:3
Feb 27, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Atletico San Luis
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico San Luis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guadalajara Chivas Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ledezma R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis 10 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis Guadalajara Chivas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atletico San Luis scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico San Luis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Luis VS Guadalajara Chivas
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico San Luis

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara Chivas

(Away)
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 9 6 1 2 20:9 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 9 5 3 1 17:8 18
3 Club America 8 5 2 1 17:8 17
4 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
5 Cruz Azul 9 5 0 4 16:15 15
6 Queretaro 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
7 Club Leon 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 9 3 3 3 15:10 12
12 UNAM Pumas 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
13 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Atletico San Luis 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
15 Necaxa 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
16 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
17 Santos Laguna 9 2 1 6 9:15 7
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)