Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlan FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Macias O.
17'
Merolla L.
34'
Almada F.

AI Match Summary

Atletico San Luis in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico San Luis
6%
Draws
4%
Mazatlan FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico San Luis lately — more wins on the board than Mazatlan FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Atletico San Luis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 19%
Mazatlan FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis Mazatlan FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlan FC
4:1
Dec 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Mazatlan FC vs Atletico San Luis
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Atletico San Luis
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlan FC
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Atletico San Luis
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Geraldino dos Santos Galvao J. P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salles-Lamonge S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mazatlan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovalle J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis 85 / 100
Mazatlan FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis Mazatlan FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Luis's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mazatlan FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico San Luis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Luis VS Mazatlan FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.43
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico San Luis

(Home)
26 Jul
Tigres UANL
2 : 2
Atletico San Luis
18 Jul
Atletico San Luis
2 : 3
Cruz Azul
10 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
07 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0
Sporting FC
01 Jul
Atlas
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

Mazatlan FC

(Away)
25 Apr
Tigres UANL
5 : 1
Mazatlan FC
23 Apr
Mazatlan FC
4 : 3
Toluca
18 Apr
Mazatlan FC
1 : 1
Queretaro
12 Apr
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Mazatlan FC
04 Apr
Necaxa
2 : 1
Mazatlan FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)