Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Barreto S. D.
33'
Eduardo Bauermann
36'
Kenedy R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Atletico San Luis and Pachuca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atletico San Luis
35%
Draws
37%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pachuca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pachuca are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis Pachuca
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis
2:1
Apr 21, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca
2:1
Jul 17, 2024 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Najera R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis 22 / 100
Pachuca 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Luis's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pachuca let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Atletico San Luis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Luis VS Pachuca
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico San Luis

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
Page 1 of 7

Pachuca

(Away)
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 9 6 1 2 20:9 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 9 5 3 1 17:8 18
3 Club America 8 5 2 1 17:8 17
4 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
5 Cruz Azul 9 5 0 4 16:15 15
6 Queretaro 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
7 Club Leon 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 9 3 3 3 15:10 12
12 UNAM Pumas 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
13 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Atletico San Luis 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
15 Necaxa 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
16 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
17 Santos Laguna 9 2 1 6 9:15 7
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)