Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico San Luis W vs UNAM Pumas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Libertad Financiera
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico San Luis W play UNAM Pumas W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico San Luis W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. UNAM Pumas W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico San Luis W won 1, UNAM Pumas W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Atletico San Luis W and 1.50 for UNAM Pumas W. This points to a Atletico San Luis W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atletico San Luis W
20%
Draws
37%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico San Luis W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico San Luis W picked up more points recently compared to UNAM Pumas W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Atletico San Luis W Clean Sheet 16%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Atletico San Luis W
1:2
Jan 4, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Atletico San Luis W
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:2
Jan 26, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs UNAM Pumas W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico San Luis W Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis W 42 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis W UNAM Pumas W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico San Luis W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico San Luis W attacking → ← attacking UNAM Pumas W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Luis W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

UNAM Pumas W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Atletico San Luis W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UNAM Pumas W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 35
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624