Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico SC vs Pinhalnovense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico SC in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Atletico SC
35%
Draws
39%
Pinhalnovense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinhalnovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico SC haven't matched Pinhalnovense's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Pinhalnovense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico SC Clean Sheet 10%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico SC Pinhalnovense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Pinhalnovense
2:0
Mar 26, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
2:1
Dec 13, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Pinhalnovense
2:1
Sep 20, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
1:0
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico SC 26 / 100
Pinhalnovense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico SC Pinhalnovense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinhalnovense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico SC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pinhalnovense conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico SC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico SC VS Pinhalnovense
1 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico SC

(Home)
10 Sept
Atletico SC
0 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
11 Sept
Atletico SC
2 : 5
Olhanense
29 May
Atletico SC
2 : 2
Nogueirense
21 May
Nogueirense
2 : 0
Atletico SC
15 May
Atletico SC
2 : 0
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 6

Pinhalnovense

(Away)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almancilense 14 10 3 1 28:14 44
2 FC Barreirense 14 5 5 4 14:14 33
3 Lusitano VRSA 14 6 1 7 23:21 31
4 Pinhalnovense 14 6 4 4 20:16 31
5 Louletano 14 5 4 5 15:17 31
6 Atletico SC 14 3 5 6 14:17 28
7 Castrense 14 2 7 5 15:19 26
8 Juv. Evora 14 2 5 7 16:27 21
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)