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Atletico Tembetary vs Independiente FBC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Tue, Jul 7, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Tembetary play Independiente FBC in the Division Intermedia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Tembetary averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Independiente FBC averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Tembetary won 2, Independiente FBC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 4, 2024 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Atletico Tembetary and 1.38 for Independiente FBC. This points to a Atletico Tembetary double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Atletico Tembetary
22%
Draws
33%
Independiente FBC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atletico Tembetary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Tembetary picked up more points recently compared to Independiente FBC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Atletico Tembetary Clean Sheet 17%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Tembetary Independiente FBC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2024 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Atletico Tembetary
2:5
Apr 29, 2024 Division Intermedia
Atletico Tembetary vs Independiente FBC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Tembetary 44 / 100
Independiente FBC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Tembetary Independiente FBC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Tembetary or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Tembetary attacking → ← attacking Independiente FBC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Tembetary scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Independiente FBC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Atletico Tembetary went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Independiente FBC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 36
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benjamin Aceval1282222:1126
2General Caballero JLM1273228:1824
312 de Junio1273217:924
4Deportivo Capiata1255219:1420
5Sol de America1255215:1020
6Independiente FBC1253417:1518
7Deportivo Santani1253412:1018
8Guairena FC1253414:1518
9Atletico Tembetary1252518:1717
10Resistencia1245313:1417
11Sportivo Carapegua1242614:2414
12Fernando de la Mora1241711:1813
13Tacuary1216516:219
14Paraguari AC1223710:159
15Encarnacion FC1222812:198
163 de Noviembre1206610:186