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Atletico Tembetary vs Independiente FBC Prediction & H2H Stats

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zarate D.
10' Event
Portillo J.
31' Event
Martinez D.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Atletico Tembetary and Independiente FBC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Tembetary
20%
Draws
57%
Independiente FBC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente FBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Tembetary haven't matched Independiente FBC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independiente FBC a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atletico Tembetary here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Atletico Tembetary Clean Sheet 13%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Tembetary Independiente FBC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Division Intermedia
Atletico Tembetary vs Independiente FBC
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Atletico Tembetary
2:5
Apr 29, 2024 Division Intermedia
Atletico Tembetary vs Independiente FBC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Tembetary Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarate D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Portillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Tembetary 27 / 100
Independiente FBC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Tembetary Independiente FBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Atletico Tembetary scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Independiente FBC let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Atletico Tembetary went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Tembetary VS Independiente FBC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Tembetary

(Home)
24 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 0
Sportivo Iteno
21 Sept
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 1
Atletico Tembetary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
10 Sept
12 de Junio
1 : 1
Atletico Tembetary
05 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
0 : 2
Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 6

Independiente FBC

(Away)
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4
Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2
Independiente FBC
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0
Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 26 16 3 7 45:25 51
2 General Caballero JLM 26 15 5 6 52:33 50
3 12 de Junio 26 14 7 5 35:26 49
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 26 9 13 4 32:24 40
6 Sportivo Carapegua 26 11 5 10 31:38 38
7 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
8 Paraguari AC 26 10 5 11 35:35 35
9 Fernando de la Mora 26 9 7 10 30:35 34
10 Atletico Tembetary 26 9 6 11 36:40 33
11 Resistencia 26 8 8 10 28:32 32
12 Deportivo Capiata 26 6 10 10 30:36 28
13 3 de Noviembre 26 6 8 12 33:39 26
14 Guairena FC 26 6 7 13 22:35 25
15 Tacuary 26 4 12 10 28:40 24
16 Encarnacion FC 26 6 4 16 25:36 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)