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Atletico Tordesillas vs Briviesca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chatun
13' Event
Chatun
53' Event
Coke

AI Match Summary

Atletico Tordesillas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Tordesillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico Tordesillas
30%
Draws
31%
Briviesca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Tordesillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Tordesillas have won more games recently than Briviesca.
  • Model gives Atletico Tordesillas a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Tordesillas here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 68%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Tordesillas Briviesca
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Briviesca
4:1
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Atletico Tordesillas
1:0
Dec 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Briviesca
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Tordesillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Chatun
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Briviesca Compare

Top Goalscorer Coke
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Tordesillas 77 / 100
Briviesca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Tordesillas Briviesca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Tordesillas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Tordesillas scored in 89% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Briviesca conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Tordesillas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Tordesillas VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Tordesillas

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
12 Sept
Albacete B
4 : 3
Atletico Tordesillas
06 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
18 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
4 : 1
Villa De Simancas
Page 1 of 8

Briviesca

(Away)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0
Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1
Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0
Briviesca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)