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Atletico Union Guimar vs Arucas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 game between Atletico Union Guimar and Arucas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Union Guimar
20%
Draws
80%
Arucas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arucas come out ahead of Atletico Union Guimar on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Arucas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Atletico Union Guimar Clean Sheet 28%
Arucas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Union Guimar Arucas
Matches Played 29 47
Wins 2 17
Draws 8 14
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Atletico Union Guimar
4:0
May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Union Guimar vs Arucas
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Union Guimar 25 / 100
Arucas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Union Guimar Arucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arucas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Union Guimar scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Arucas conceded in 72% of 47 recent games.

Away concern: Arucas has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Union Guimar VS Arucas
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Union Guimar

(Home)
27 Sept
Hortaleza
1 : 0
Atletico Union Guimar
27 Jun
Atletico Union Guimar
1 : 2
Villa Santa Brigida
19 Jun
Arucas
4 : 0
Atletico Union Guimar
06 Jun
CD La Cuadra
2 : 1
Atletico Union Guimar
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
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Arucas

(Away)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
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