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Atletico Uri vs Gelbison Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
De Cenco C.
25' Event
Pitarresi F.
45' Event
De Cenco C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Uri
15%
Draws
85%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gelbison lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Uri.
  • Gelbison are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico Uri Clean Sheet 17%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Uri Gelbison
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Gelbison
3:3
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs Atletico Uri
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Uri Compare

Top Goalscorer De Cenco C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demarcus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitarresi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isaac Prado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Uri 20 / 100
Gelbison 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Uri Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gelbison Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Atletico Uri found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Gelbison let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Gelbison's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gelbison
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Uri

(Home)
04 May
Atl. Lodigiani
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
27 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Olbia
17 Apr
Paganese
1 : 0
Atletico Uri
13 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Real Monterotondo
06 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
Page 1 of 6

Gelbison

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)