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Atletico Uri vs Lupa Frascati Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sabelli P.
41' Event
Senesi Y.
51' Event
Congiu A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Uri
20%
Draws
80%
Lupa Frascati
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lupa Frascati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Lupa Frascati have won more games recently than Atletico Uri.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Lupa Frascati taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Atletico Uri Clean Sheet 21%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Uri Lupa Frascati
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Lupa Frascati
2:2
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Frascati vs Atletico Uri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Uri Compare

Top Goalscorer Congiu A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piga C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lupa Frascati Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabelli P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Senesi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Uri 16 / 100
Lupa Frascati 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Uri Lupa Frascati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupa Frascati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Atletico Uri scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Lupa Frascati let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Lupa Frascati has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Uri VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Uri

(Home)
04 May
Atl. Lodigiani
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
27 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Olbia
17 Apr
Paganese
1 : 0
Atletico Uri
13 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Real Monterotondo
06 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
Page 1 of 7

Lupa Frascati

(Away)
14 May
Paganese
3 : 2
Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1
Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1
Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1
Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Lupa Frascati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)