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Atletico Uri vs Real Monterotondo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
De Cenco C.
67'
Anedda W.
86' Event
Napoleoni S.

AI Match Summary

Real Monterotondo in this Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Monterotondo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Uri
15%
Draws
85%
Real Monterotondo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Monterotondo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Monterotondo lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Uri.
  • Win probability leans Real Monterotondo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Monterotondo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico Uri Clean Sheet 19%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Uri Real Monterotondo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Real Monterotondo
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Atletico Uri
5:0
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Atletico Uri
5:1
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Real Monterotondo
2:2
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Atletico Uri vs Real Monterotondo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Uri Compare

Top Goalscorer De Cenco C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Napoleoni S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Menghi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Uri 20 / 100
Real Monterotondo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Uri Real Monterotondo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Monterotondo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo has conceded goals in 81% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Atletico Uri scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Real Monterotondo's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Monterotondo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Uri

(Home)
04 May
Atl. Lodigiani
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
27 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Olbia
17 Apr
Paganese
1 : 0
Atletico Uri
13 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 2
Real Monterotondo
06 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 1
Atletico Uri
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Real Monterotondo

(Away)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)