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Atletico Victoria vs CD Santa Ursula

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Victoria play CD Santa Ursula in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Victoria averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. CD Santa Ursula averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Victoria won 1, CD Santa Ursula won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 23, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Atletico Victoria and 0.86 for CD Santa Ursula. This points to a CD Santa Ursula double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Atletico Victoria
11%
Draws
80%
CD Santa Ursula
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Santa Ursula has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico Victoria.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for CD Santa Ursula.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Atletico Victoria Clean Sheet 25%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Victoria CD Santa Ursula
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs CD Santa Ursula
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Atletico Victoria
2:1
Aug 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Atletico Victoria vs CD Santa Ursula
0:1
Apr 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs CD Santa Ursula
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Atletico Victoria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayoze
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

CD Santa Ursula Compare

Top Goalscorer Roro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Victoria 13 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Victoria CD Santa Ursula

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Victoria scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Santa Ursula let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Atletico Victoria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Santa Ursula lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Santa Ursula
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife B34248268:2280
2Lanzarote34229364:2875
3Union Sur Yaiza342111262:1974
4Las Palmas B34228474:2474
5Panaderia341510952:3955
6Arucas341114951:4147
7CD Santa Ursula3410131135:3843
8San Bartolome3410121243:4242
9Villa Santa Brigida349141141:3641
10Tamaraceite341181542:5641
11CD Marino341091542:5339
12CD Buzanada349121329:4239
13Herbania349111430:4638
14Ibarra34991635:4536
15Atletico Victoria34881833:5332
16Teror34682029:6726
17Gran Tarajal344121821:5424
18CD La Cuadra34642426:7222