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Atletik Kuklen vs Sliven

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Atletik Kuklen and Sliven finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletik Kuklen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atletik Kuklen
15%
Draws
42%
Sliven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletik Kuklen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletik Kuklen come out ahead of Sliven on wins alone.
  • Atletik Kuklen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Atletik Kuklen have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletik Kuklen Clean Sheet 15%
Sliven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletik Kuklen Sliven
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-East
Atletik Kuklen vs Sliven
2:1
Oct 11, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Atletik Kuklen
2:3
Mar 4, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Atletik Kuklen
3:2
Aug 20, 2022 Third League - South-East
Atletik Kuklen vs Sliven
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletik Kuklen 48 / 100
Sliven 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletik Kuklen Sliven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletik Kuklen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Atletik Kuklen found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Sliven conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Sliven registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletik Kuklen VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletik Kuklen

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7
Yambol 1915
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
22 Aug
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 3
Krumovgrad
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Sliven

(Away)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
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