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Atromitos Palamas vs Karitsa

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sat, Mar 13, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atromitos Palamas host Karitsa in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Atromitos Palamas at 1.14 goals for, 1.24 against; Karitsa at 2 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Karitsa slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2021, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.38, favoring Karitsa. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Atromitos Palamas
15%
Draws
68%
Karitsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Atromitos Palamas have won more games recently than Karitsa.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Karitsa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Atromitos Palamas Clean Sheet 17%
Karitsa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos Palamas Karitsa
Matches Played 37 16
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 1.14 2
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs Atromitos Palamas
2:0
Mar 13, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Atromitos Palamas vs Karitsa
0:0
Jan 26, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Atromitos Palamas vs Karitsa
1:3
Oct 13, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs Atromitos Palamas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos Palamas 10 / 100
Karitsa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos Palamas Karitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karitsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atromitos Palamas scored in 62% of their last 37 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Karitsa conceded in 31% of 16 recent games.

Atromitos Palamas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos Palamas VS Karitsa
1 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos Palamas

(Home)
04 May
Atromitos Palamas
0 : 3
Kozani FC
30 Apr
Thesprotos
4 : 0
Atromitos Palamas
27 Apr
Atromitos Palamas
2 : 0
Amvrakikos Vonitsa
06 Apr
O. Volos
2 : 1
Atromitos Palamas
30 Mar
Atromitos Palamas
0 : 1
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 8

Karitsa

(Away)
26 Sept
Karitsa
2 : 1
Sarakinos Volos
06 Jun
Aetos Makrychoriou
1 : 2
Karitsa
30 May
Karitsa
1 : 3
Karditsa
26 May
Elassona
0 : 2
Karitsa
23 May
Karitsa
1 : 0
Fikis
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)