Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atromitos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Atromitos Piraeus and Apollon Smyrnis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atromitos Piraeus
15%
Draws
85%
Apollon Smyrnis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apollon Smyrnis come out ahead of Atromitos Piraeus on wins alone.
  • Apollon Smyrnis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Atromitos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos Piraeus Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 9
Losses 26 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs Atromitos Piraeus
5:0
Jan 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Atromitos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos Piraeus 10 / 100
Apollon Smyrnis 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos Piraeus Apollon Smyrnis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Smyrnis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Smyrnis has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Apollon Smyrnis has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Atromitos Piraeus scored in 23% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos Piraeus VS Apollon Smyrnis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos Piraeus

(Home)
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 4
Chaidari
20 Apr
Panionios
4 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
14 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 2
Atsalenios FC
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Apollon Smyrnis

(Away)
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
3 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)