Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ATSV Erlangen vs ASV Neumarkt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASV Neumarkt in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASV Neumarkt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
ATSV Erlangen
15%
Draws
64%
ASV Neumarkt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASV Neumarkt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • ASV Neumarkt have won more games recently than ATSV Erlangen.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on ATSV Erlangen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ASV Neumarkt have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 13%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen ASV Neumarkt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.97 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs ASV Neumarkt
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs ATSV Erlangen
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs ASV Neumarkt
3:2
Jul 27, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs ATSV Erlangen
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs ATSV Erlangen
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 35 / 100
ASV Neumarkt 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen ASV Neumarkt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASV Neumarkt let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

ATSV Erlangen scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: ASV Neumarkt registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS ASV Neumarkt
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
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ASV Neumarkt

(Away)
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
06 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 2
Regensburg II
28 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
22 Aug
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 3
Stadeln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)