Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ATSV Erlangen vs Cham

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
ATSV Erlangen
20%
Draws
74%
Cham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cham lately — more wins on the board than ATSV Erlangen.
  • Model gives Cham a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cham here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 14%
Cham Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen Cham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Cham
2:4
Sep 16, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs ATSV Erlangen
4:0
Mar 28, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs ATSV Erlangen
1:0
Sep 6, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Cham
1:1
May 4, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Cham vs ATSV Erlangen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 10 / 100
Cham 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen Cham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ATSV Erlangen scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

ATSV Erlangen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS Cham
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
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Cham

(Away)
26 Sept
Bamberg
0 : 2
Cham
18 Sept
Cham
3 : 0
Neudrossenfeld
13 Sept
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Cham
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 1
Nordlingen
29 Aug
Wurzburger FV
2 : 3
Cham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)