Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ATSV Erlangen vs Munchberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Luft S.
22' Event
Markert L.
45' Event
Perera G.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 game between ATSV Erlangen and Munchberg finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ATSV Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
ATSV Erlangen
20%
Draws
64%
Munchberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Munchberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • ATSV Erlangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on ATSV Erlangen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 19%
Munchberg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen Munchberg
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.41 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Munchberg
6:1
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Munchberg vs ATSV Erlangen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ATSV Erlangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Markert L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perera G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Munchberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaschel C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 36 / 100
Munchberg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen Munchberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Munchberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

ATSV Erlangen found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Munchberg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS Munchberg
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
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Munchberg

(Away)
27 Jun
Coburg
0 : 2
Munchberg
25 May
Stadeln
1 : 0
Munchberg
21 May
Munchberg
0 : 0
Stadeln
07 Feb
Neudrossenfeld
4 : 0
Munchberg
24 May
Munchberg
0 : 3
Stadeln
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)