Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atus Ferlach vs Lienz

Austria Austria

Karnten 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atus Ferlach in this Karnten 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atus Ferlach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Atus Ferlach
20%
Draws
30%
Lienz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atus Ferlach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atus Ferlach lately — more wins on the board than Lienz.
  • Atus Ferlach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atus Ferlach have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atus Ferlach Clean Sheet 11%
Lienz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atus Ferlach Lienz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.61 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 Karnten
Lienz vs Atus Ferlach
0:4
Sep 25, 2016 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Lienz
3:0
May 28, 2016 Karnten
Lienz vs Atus Ferlach
0:4
Oct 26, 2015 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Lienz
2:1
May 18, 2013 Karnten
Lienz vs Atus Ferlach
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atus Ferlach 83 / 100
Lienz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atus Ferlach Lienz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atus Ferlach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atus Ferlach found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Lienz let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Atus Ferlach went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atus Ferlach VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atus Ferlach

(Home)
26 Sept
SAK Klagenfurt
3 : 1
Atus Ferlach
18 Sept
Atus Ferlach
3 : 1
Lendorf
11 Sept
KAC 1909
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
04 Sept
Atus Ferlach
2 : 2
SC St. Veit
29 Aug
Seeboden
1 : 1
Atus Ferlach
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Lienz

(Away)
13 Jul
Lienz
0 : 11
Udinese
19 Jul
Al Hilal
5 : 0
Lienz
10 Jul
Lienz
0 : 9
Rennes
16 Jun
Bleiburg
3 : 0
Lienz
09 Jun
Lienz
2 : 0
Volkermarkt
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