Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atvidaberg vs AFC Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Kopparvallen, Atvidaberg
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Nouri B.
Own Goal
24' Event
Samuelsson A.
45'
Sener C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Atvidaberg and AFC Malmo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atvidaberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atvidaberg
39%
Draws
31%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Malmo haven't matched Atvidaberg's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Atvidaberg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atvidaberg Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atvidaberg AFC Malmo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Atvidaberg vs AFC Malmo
3:0
Aug 5, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Atvidaberg
6:0
May 13, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Atvidaberg vs AFC Malmo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atvidaberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuelsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brahim L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

AFC Malmo Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atvidaberg 29 / 100
AFC Malmo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atvidaberg AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atvidaberg's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Atvidaberg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AFC Malmo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atvidaberg VS AFC Malmo
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atvidaberg

(Home)
27 Jun
Atvidaberg
3 : 3
Rosengard
17 Jun
Utsikten
0 : 3
Atvidaberg
13 Jun
Atvidaberg
4 : 0
Eskilsminne
07 Jun
Atvidaberg
2 : 2
Tvaaker
30 May
Trollhattan
3 : 3
Atvidaberg
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AFC Malmo

(Away)
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
12 Jun
Lunds Bois
1 : 4
AFC Malmo
07 Jun
AFC Malmo
2 : 1
Eskilsminne
30 May
AFC Malmo
4 : 2
Laholms
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 14 9 5 0 33:12 32
2 AFC Malmo 14 8 3 3 28:16 27
3 Atvidaberg 14 7 5 2 30:18 26
4 Lunds Bois 14 7 5 2 26:16 26
5 Rosengard 14 6 4 4 23:19 22
6 Hassleholms IF 14 6 3 5 27:22 21
7 Tvaaker 14 6 3 5 17:19 21
8 Eskilsminne 15 6 2 7 25:28 20
9 Olympic 14 6 1 7 22:24 19
10 Jonkoping 14 5 3 6 20:15 18
11 Angelholm 14 3 7 4 22:22 16
12 Skovde 14 3 7 4 11:20 16
13 Kristianstad 15 3 5 7 16:24 14
14 Laholms 14 4 1 9 21:29 13
15 Trollhattan 14 2 7 5 18:26 13
16 Utsikten 14 1 1 12 10:39 4
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)