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Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Turkestan Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atyrau
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atyrau haven't matched Kairat Almaty's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 16%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyrau Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 19
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty
1:4
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 8, 2024 Kazakhstan Cup
Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyrau 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyrau Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Atyrau found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Atyrau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kairat Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atyrau VS Kairat Almaty
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211