Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atyrau vs Okzhetpes

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Turkestan Arena, Turkestan
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atyrau host Okzhetpes in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atyrau have averaged 0.89 scored and 1.26 conceded recently, against Okzhetpes's 1.48 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Okzhetpes slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.50) point toward Okzhetpes. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atyrau
20%
Draws
60%
Okzhetpes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Atyrau haven't matched Okzhetpes's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 16%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atyrau Okzhetpes
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
0:0
Apr 2, 2023 Premier League
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atyrau 31 / 100
Okzhetpes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atyrau Okzhetpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Atyrau scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Okzhetpes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atyrau VS Okzhetpes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atyrau

(Home)
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1
Aktobe
01 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
26 Jul
Tobol
1 : 0
Atyrau
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
05 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
Page 1 of 6

Okzhetpes

(Away)
09 Aug
FC Astana
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
02 Aug
Okzhetpes
4 : 1
Altai
25 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
18 Jul
Okzhetpes
2 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
12 Jul
Tobol
3 : 1
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 21 15 4 2 40:15 49
2 Kairat Almaty 20 13 6 1 39:14 45
3 FC Astana 20 11 5 4 33:21 38
4 Okzhetpes 21 9 6 6 30:29 33
5 Aktobe 21 9 5 7 30:25 32
6 Yelimay Semey 20 8 7 5 29:24 31
7 Ulytau 21 7 7 7 17:21 28
8 Kyzylzhar 21 6 5 10 25:30 23
9 Zhenis 20 5 8 7 17:23 23
10 Kaspij Aktau 21 6 4 11 22:29 22
11 Tobol 20 6 4 10 21:28 22
12 Atyrau 20 3 11 6 15:19 20
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 20 3 11 6 15:22 20
14 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 21 4 7 10 23:34 19
15 Ertis Pavlodar 20 3 8 9 20:28 17
16 Altai 21 3 8 10 18:32 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)