Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Kereev B. In: Tkachenko Y.
Out: Kereev B.
46'
46'
Sub
Ensebaev M. In: Omirtaev O.
Out: Ensebaev M.
60'
60'
Sub
Abdumannonov B. In: Vomenko V.
Out: Abdumannonov B.
AI Match Summary
Okzhetpes in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Okzhetpes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Atyrau haven't matched Okzhetpes's recent run of results.
- 68% — that's where the model lands on Okzhetpes taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 13%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atyrau | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes
0:2
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atyrau Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Okzhetpes Compare
Top Goalscorer Borodin D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Omirtaev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atyrau 10 / 100
Okzhetpes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atyrau Okzhetpes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Okzhetpes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Atyrau scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Atyrau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atyrau VS Okzhetpes
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Atyrau
(Home) 17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1 Atyrau
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3 FC Astana
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3 FC Astana
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2 Okzhetpes
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1 Aktobe
01 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 3
Okzhetpes
(Away) 18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1 Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2 Okzhetpes
09 Aug
FC Astana
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
25 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
