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Aubagne FC vs Amiens SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny, Aubagne
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aubagne FC host Amiens SC in the Ligue 3. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Aubagne FC at 0.86 goals for, 1.52 against; Amiens SC at 1.26 for, 1.44 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.51 - 1.13) back Amiens SC to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aubagne FC
30%
Draws
51%
Amiens SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Amiens SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Amiens SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 20%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubagne FC Amiens SC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubagne FC 10 / 100
Amiens SC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubagne FC Amiens SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Amiens SC conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Aubagne FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aubagne FC VS Amiens SC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aubagne FC

(Home)
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
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Amiens SC

(Away)
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)