Sport Picks

France

National 2025/2026 Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny

Orleans

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aubagne FC play Orleans in the National 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aubagne FC averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Orleans averaged 1 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Aubagne FC won 2, Orleans won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Aubagne FC and 1.44 for Orleans. This points to a Orleans double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Aubagne FC

44%

Draws

20%

Orleans

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Orleans has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aubagne FC.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 16%

Orleans Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aubagne FC	Orleans
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	14
Draws	8	8
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3

Aubagne FC vs Orleans

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3

Orleans vs Aubagne FC

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

2:4

May 2, 2025 Ligue 3

Aubagne FC vs Orleans

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 3

Orleans vs Aubagne FC

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubagne FC 36 / 100

Orleans 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aubagne FC Orleans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Orleans let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aubagne FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Orleans lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aubagne FC VS Orleans

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dijon	32	18	11	3	52:25	65
2	Sochaux	32	16	10	6	51:26	58
3	Rouen	32	14	13	5	43:29	55
4	Fleury-Merogis	32	15	9	8	47:30	54
5	Versailles	32	15	8	9	46:34	53
6	Orleans	32	14	9	9	42:42	51
7	Le Puy-en-Velay	32	12	11	9	45:38	47
8	Caen	32	8	16	8	39:34	40
9	Concarneau	32	8	14	10	32:37	38
10	Valenciennes	32	10	8	14	35:44	37
11	Aubagne FC	32	9	10	13	38:46	37
12	Villefranche	32	10	7	15	34:45	37
13	Quevilly	32	8	9	15	34:45	33
14	Paris 13 Atletico	32	7	11	14	26:41	32
15	Bourg Peronnas	32	8	7	17	25:44	31
16	Chateauroux	32	6	13	13	35:49	30
17	Stade Briochin	32	5	12	15	35:50	27