Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aubagne FC vs Paris 13 Atletico

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny, Aubagne
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Mimb Baheng R.
34'
M'Dahoma K.
34'
Berrabha D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aubagne FC
44%
Draws
20%
Paris 13 Atletico
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aubagne FC at 1.13 per game, Paris 13 Atletico at 0.88.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 21%
Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubagne FC Paris 13 Atletico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne FC
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Paris 13 Atletico
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Paris 13 Atletico
1:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentoumi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paris 13 Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadoune O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubagne FC 37 / 100
Paris 13 Atletico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubagne FC Paris 13 Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aubagne FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Paris 13 Atletico let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Aubagne FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aubagne FC VS Paris 13 Atletico
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aubagne FC

(Home)
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1
Bastia
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
Page 1 of 6

Paris 13 Atletico

(Away)
18 Jul
Orleans
1 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
11 Jul
Amiens SC
2 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
15 May
Quevilly
1 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)