Sport Picks

France

National 2025/2026 Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny

Match Events

Nehari M.

Own Goal

11'

Tlili K.

18'

Zakharyan A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aubagne FC host Stade Briochin in the National 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Aubagne FC at 0.88 goals for, 1.88 against; Stade Briochin at 1.13 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Aubagne FC have won 1 to Stade Briochin's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward Stade Briochin. Stade Briochin in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Aubagne FC

22%

Draws

60%

Stade Briochin

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Stade Briochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Aubagne FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Stade Briochin.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Stade Briochin.
League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 16%

Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aubagne FC	Stade Briochin
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	6
Draws	8	11
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Ligue 3

Aubagne FC vs Stade Briochin

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 3

Stade Briochin vs Aubagne FC

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tlili K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Stade Briochin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubagne FC 19 / 100

Stade Briochin 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aubagne FC Stade Briochin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Stade Briochin let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Aubagne FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Stade Briochin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aubagne FC VS Stade Briochin

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dijon	32	18	11	3	52:25	65
2	Sochaux	32	16	10	6	51:26	58
3	Rouen	32	14	13	5	43:29	55
4	Fleury-Merogis	32	15	9	8	47:30	54
5	Versailles	32	15	8	9	46:34	53
6	Orleans	32	14	9	9	42:42	51
7	Le Puy-en-Velay	32	12	11	9	45:38	47
8	Caen	32	8	16	8	39:34	40
9	Concarneau	32	8	14	10	32:37	38
10	Valenciennes	32	10	8	14	35:44	37
11	Aubagne FC	32	9	10	13	38:46	37
12	Villefranche	32	10	7	15	34:45	37
13	Quevilly	32	8	9	15	34:45	33
14	Paris 13 Atletico	32	7	11	14	26:41	32
15	Bourg Peronnas	32	8	7	17	25:44	31
16	Chateauroux	32	6	13	13	35:49	30
17	Stade Briochin	32	5	12	15	35:50	27