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Aubervilliers vs Guingamp II Prediction & H2H Stats

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National 2 - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
El Manssouri O.
27' Event
Harragui B.
34' Event
Touzghar R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2023/2024 game between Aubervilliers and Guingamp II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aubervilliers
15%
Draws
34%
Guingamp II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aubervilliers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aubervilliers haven't matched Guingamp II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aubervilliers a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Aubervilliers Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubervilliers Guingamp II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 2
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.69 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Aubervilliers vs Guingamp II
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Guingamp II vs Aubervilliers
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aubervilliers Compare

Top Goalscorer Harragui B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Guingamp II Compare

Top Goalscorer El Manssouri O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touzghar R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubervilliers 68 / 100
Guingamp II 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubervilliers Guingamp II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aubervilliers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp II let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aubervilliers scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Difficult form: Guingamp II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aubervilliers VS Guingamp II
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aubervilliers

(Home)
30 Nov
Avranches
2 : 1
Aubervilliers
16 Nov
SA Beaumont
4 : 7
Aubervilliers
17 May
FC Balagne
8 : 2
Aubervilliers
10 May
Aubervilliers
2 : 3
Thionville
03 May
Creteil
1 : 4
Aubervilliers
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Guingamp II

(Away)
09 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 1
Guingamp II
18 May
Guingamp II
2 : 3
Saint-Malo
11 May
Racing Club de France
2 : 0
Guingamp II
27 Apr
Guingamp II
2 : 2
AF Virois
20 Apr
Beauvais
0 : 3
Guingamp II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boulogne 26 15 6 5 48:29 51
2 Saint-Malo 26 12 8 6 38:23 44
3 Granville 26 12 7 7 35:31 43
4 Chambly 26 12 7 7 39:25 38
5 Dinan 26 11 5 10 41:44 38
6 Stade Briochin 26 10 7 9 31:26 37
7 Beauvais 26 10 7 9 38:31 37
8 Aubervilliers 26 11 3 12 30:39 36
9 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 26 8 10 8 29:31 34
10 Racing Club de France 26 10 4 12 30:35 34
11 Lorient II 26 8 8 10 36:39 32
12 Borgo 26 9 3 14 37:49 30
13 AF Virois 26 8 3 15 35:43 27
14 Guingamp II 26 6 2 18 28:50 20
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)