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Aubervilliers vs Thionville

France France

National 2 - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aubervilliers play Thionville in the National 2 - Group C 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aubervilliers averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Thionville averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Aubervilliers won 0, Thionville won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Aubervilliers and 1.30 for Thionville. This points to a Thionville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aubervilliers
29%
Draws
51%
Thionville
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Aubervilliers picked up more points recently compared to Thionville.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Aubervilliers Clean Sheet 19%
Thionville Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aubervilliers Thionville
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 21
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 National 2 - Group C
Aubervilliers vs Thionville
2:3
Jan 11, 2025 National 2 - Group C
Thionville vs Aubervilliers
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aubervilliers Compare

Top Goalscorer Meftah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ousseni M. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Groune A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moustaid J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aubervilliers 22 / 100
Thionville 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aubervilliers Thionville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thionville or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aubervilliers attacking → ← attacking Thionville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubervilliers scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Thionville let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Aubervilliers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Thionville lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 70
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fleury-Merogis30178548:2459
2FC Bobigny 9330165942:3553
3Chambly301312548:3148
4Thionville30138948:3947
5FC Balagne301111854:4441
6Beauvais301181133:3141
7Furiani Agliani301013736:3541
8Feignies-Aulnoye301171242:3540
9Creteil301191035:2940
10Biesheim3010101042:3740
11Haguenau301071338:4437
12Epinal309101140:4037
13Chantilly308121036:4636
14Wasquehal30941726:4731
15Aubervilliers304121441:5324
16Villers Houlgate30581725:6423