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Aucas vs Barcelona SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aucas host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Aucas have averaged 1.17 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Barcelona SC's 1.07 scored and 1.15 conceded. Head-to-head, Aucas have won 1 to Barcelona SC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.81) point toward Aucas. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aucas
35%
Draws
37%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aucas come out ahead of Barcelona SC on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aucas taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Aucas Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas Barcelona SC
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Barcelona SC
1:1
May 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Aucas
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Barcelona SC vs Aucas
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Aucas
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Barcelona SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 42 / 100
Barcelona SC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aucas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Barcelona SC let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aucas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS Barcelona SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aucas

(Home)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
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Barcelona SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 Macara 31 16 6 9 43:34 54
3 U. Catolica 31 14 9 8 52:29 51
4 Aucas 31 14 8 9 34:30 50
5 LDU Quito 31 14 7 10 33:25 49
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
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