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Aucas vs CSCD Grecia

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Serie B 2013
Aucas Logo

Aucas

2 - 0
FT
CSCD Grecia Logo

CSCD Grecia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aucas play CSCD Grecia in the Serie B 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aucas averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. CSCD Grecia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Aucas won 2, CSCD Grecia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 22, 2013 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Aucas and 1.00 for CSCD Grecia. This points to a Aucas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Aucas
16%
Draws
31%
CSCD Grecia
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Aucas picked up more points recently compared to CSCD Grecia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Aucas Clean Sheet 23%
CSCD Grecia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas CSCD Grecia
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2013 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Aucas
2:1
Sep 15, 2013 Serie B
Aucas vs CSCD Grecia
2:0
Jul 7, 2013 Serie B
Aucas vs CSCD Grecia
4:0
Feb 23, 2013 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Aucas
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 52 / 100
CSCD Grecia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas CSCD Grecia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Aucas & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aucas attacking → ← attacking CSCD Grecia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aucas scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

CSCD Grecia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Aucas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CSCD Grecia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 33
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837