Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aucas vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aucas play Delfin in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aucas averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1 conceded. Delfin averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Aucas won 4, Delfin won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Aucas and 0.94 for Delfin. This points to a Aucas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Aucas
21%
Draws
25%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Aucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Aucas picked up more points recently compared to Delfin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Aucas Clean Sheet 24%
Delfin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 46%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas Delfin
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.56 0.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Aucas
0:1
Nov 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
8:0
Jul 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Delfin
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Aucas
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 53 / 100
Delfin 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas Delfin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aucas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Aucas & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aucas attacking → ← attacking Delfin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aucas scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Delfin let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aucas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Delfin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 30
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independiente del Valle17131336:1840
2Barcelona SC1785420:1329
3Aucas1785420:1629
4LDU Quito1783619:1427
5Dep. Cuenca1783618:1927
6U. Catolica1775528:1726
7Tecnico U.1772819:1723
8Macara1765616:1823
9Emelec1765614:1723
10Orense1764722:2422
11Mushuc Runa1756622:2321
12Leones del Norte1755718:1920
13Guayaquil City1754814:2019
14Delfin174589:1617
15Libertad1745817:2517
16Manta1733117:2312