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Aucas vs LDU Quito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Aucas Logo

Aucas

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aucas host LDU Quito in the Liga Pro. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Aucas have averaged 1.17 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against LDU Quito's 1.31 scored and 0.72 conceded. Past meetings favor LDU Quito slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward LDU Quito. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aucas
35%
Draws
37%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Quito come out ahead of Aucas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aucas a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Aucas Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aucas LDU Quito
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 16 18
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Copa Ecuador
LDU Quito vs Aucas
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs LDU Quito
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Aucas
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs LDU Quito
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Aucas
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aucas 36 / 100
LDU Quito 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aucas LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aucas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aucas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: LDU Quito conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aucas VS LDU Quito
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aucas

(Home)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
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LDU Quito

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 Macara 31 16 6 9 43:34 54
3 U. Catolica 31 14 9 8 52:29 51
4 Aucas 31 14 8 9 34:30 50
5 LDU Quito 31 14 7 10 33:25 49
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)