Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Morales S.
Assist: Guzman P.
34'
34'
Campana A. I.
Assist: Posse F.
46'
46'
Sub
Tello M. In: Estacio J.
Out: Tello M.
AI Match Summary
Macara in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
30%
56%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aucas lately — more wins on the board than Macara.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Macara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Aucas Clean Sheet 23%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aucas | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Macara
1:2
Jul 26, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Macara
1:4
Apr 5, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Aucas
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs Macara
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Aucas
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aucas Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Macara Compare
Top Goalscorer Campana A. I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Posse F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aucas 37 / 100
Macara 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aucas Macara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Macara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Aucas scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Macara has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Aucas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aucas VS Macara
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aucas
(Home) 10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1 Aucas
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0 Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0 Libertad
17 Aug
Aucas
0 : 1 LDU Quito
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0 Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 3
Macara
(Away) 19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0 Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3 Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2 Macara
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2 Macara
25 Aug
Libertad
1 : 0 Macara
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1 Macara
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
