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Auchinleck Talbot vs Largs Thistle

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Sewell W.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Auchinleck Talbot and Largs Thistle finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Largs Thistle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Auchinleck Talbot
20%
Draws
47%
Largs Thistle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Largs Thistle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Largs Thistle haven't matched Auchinleck Talbot's recent run of results.
  • Auchinleck Talbot are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Auchinleck Talbot Clean Sheet 19%
Largs Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auchinleck Talbot Largs Thistle
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 18 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 2.21 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Lowland League
Auchinleck Talbot vs Largs Thistle
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 Lowland League
Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auchinleck Talbot Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Largs Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer Sewell W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auchinleck Talbot 85 / 100
Largs Thistle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auchinleck Talbot Largs Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auchinleck Talbot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auchinleck Talbot scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Auchinleck Talbot went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Largs Thistle let in goals in 45% of their last 11 matches.

Scoring Trends

Auchinleck Talbot VS Largs Thistle
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auchinleck Talbot

(Home)
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
28 Aug
Celtic B
2 : 2
Auchinleck Talbot
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Largs Thistle

(Away)
26 Sept
Beith
1 : 1
Largs Thistle
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Largs Thistle
29 Aug
Largs Thistle
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)