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Auckland City vs AS Dragon

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Dragon in this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Auckland City
15%
Draws
14%
AS Dragon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland City lately — more wins on the board than AS Dragon.
  • Auckland City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 68%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City AS Dragon
Matches Played 33 21
Wins 21 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.85 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2014 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Auckland City
0:3
Apr 28, 2013 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Auckland City
1:1
Apr 17, 2013 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs AS Dragon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 95 / 100
AS Dragon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City AS Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland City scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

AS Dragon let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Solid form: Auckland City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2
Auckland City
Page 1 of 7

AS Dragon

(Away)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Amicale 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 PNG Hekari 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
4 Solomon Warriors 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Auckland City 6 3 1 2 19:8 10
3 AS Dragon 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 7:25 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)