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Auckland City vs Auckland United

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Kiwitea Street, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Zeb H.
32' Event
Olaoye D.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Garriga G.

AI Match Summary

Auckland City in this National League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auckland City
6%
Draws
4%
Auckland United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland City lately — more wins on the board than Auckland United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Auckland City have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Auckland United
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 26 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 National League
Auckland City vs Auckland United
4:2
Oct 29, 2023 National League
Auckland City vs Auckland United
3:2
Oct 29, 2022 National League
Auckland United vs Auckland City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeb H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garriga G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Auckland United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 85 / 100
Auckland United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Auckland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Auckland City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Auckland United let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Auckland United
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0
Takapuna Afc
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
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Auckland United

(Away)
04 Jul
Auckland United
3 : 1
Cambridge
07 Dec
Auckland FC 2
3 : 0
Auckland United
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0
Auckland United
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)