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Auckland City vs Auckland United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland City host Auckland United in the National League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Auckland City have averaged 2 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Auckland United's 2 scored and 1.73 conceded. Past meetings favor Auckland City slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2025, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.50, favoring Auckland City. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Auckland City
30%
Draws
27%
Auckland United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland City lately — more wins on the board than Auckland United.
  • Model gives Auckland City a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland City have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 16%
Auckland United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Auckland United
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 30 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 National League
Auckland City vs Auckland United
4:2
Oct 29, 2023 National League
Auckland City vs Auckland United
3:2
Oct 29, 2022 National League
Auckland United vs Auckland City
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 41 / 100
Auckland United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Auckland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (44 games).

Auckland United has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Auckland City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Auckland United
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2
Wellington Olympic
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
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Auckland United

(Away)
10 Oct
Auckland FC 2
2 : 2
Auckland United
04 Oct
Auckland United
7 : 1
Napier City
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
26 Jul
Nelson Suburbs FC
2 : 1
Auckland United
04 Jul
Auckland United
3 : 1
Cambridge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
3 Auckland United 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
8 Auckland FC 2 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
9 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
11 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)