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Auckland City vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship Kiwitea Street
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Harris J.
Own Goal
53' Event
Kaltack B.
64'
Ilich M.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Auckland City and Hamilton finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auckland City
6%
Draws
4%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Hamilton on wins alone.
  • Auckland City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auckland City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Hamilton
Matches Played 41 28
Wins 27 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 3 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2021 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Hamilton
2:1
Nov 22, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Auckland City
2:0
Feb 2, 2020 Football Championship
Auckland City vs Hamilton
3:1
Nov 16, 2019 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Auckland City
0:5
Oct 11, 2019 Club Friendly
Auckland City vs Hamilton
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Comber O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 83 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (41 games).

Hamilton has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Auckland City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City1484227:1328
2Team Wellington1475235:2126
3Hamilton1455423:2120
4Eastern Suburbs1454525:2319
5Waitakere United1446428:2618
6Canterbury1453621:2418
7Hawke s Bay1441917:2913
8Wellington Phoenix 21424818:3710