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Auckland City vs Ifira Blackbird

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023 VFF Freshwater Stadium
Wed, May 24, 2023
3 - 2
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland City play Ifira Blackbird in the OFC Champions League 2023. Auckland City are favorites here. Recently, Auckland City averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Ifira Blackbird averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Auckland City won 2, Ifira Blackbird won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Auckland City and 1.75 for Ifira Blackbird. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Auckland City
21%
Draws
23%
Ifira Blackbird
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland City picked up more points recently compared to Ifira Blackbird.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 12%
Ifira Blackbird Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Ifira Blackbird
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.81 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Ifira Blackbird
2:0
May 24, 2023 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Ifira Blackbird
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer de Vries R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ifira Blackbird Compare

Top Goalscorer Iawak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tenene G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 53 / 100
Ifira Blackbird 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Ifira Blackbird

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Auckland City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Auckland City attacking → ← attacking Ifira Blackbird

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Ifira Blackbird let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ifira Blackbird lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 22
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50