Sport Picks
Auckland City vs Melville
New Zealand
National League 2022 Kiwitea Street 
AI Match Summary
Auckland City play Melville in the National League 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Auckland City averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Melville averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Auckland City won 1, Melville won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 26, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Auckland City and 1.81 for Melville. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Auckland City picked up more points recently compared to Melville.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auckland City | Melville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 16 |
| Wins | 19 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.13 | 4.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Auckland City Compare
Melville Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Auckland City scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Melville let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Melville lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Wellington Olympic | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Auckland United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 4 | Birkenhead | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Melville | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Cashmere Technical | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:22 | 9 |
| 8 | Christchurch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:24 | 8 |
| 9 | Napier City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:23 | 6 |
| 10 | Miramar | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11:25 | 4 |