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Auckland City vs PNG Hekari

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2025 National Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland City play PNG Hekari in the OFC Champions League 2025. Auckland City are favorites here. Recently, Auckland City averaged 3 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. PNG Hekari averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Auckland City won 3, PNG Hekari won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 12, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Auckland City and 0.83 for PNG Hekari. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auckland City
6%
Draws
4%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to PNG Hekari.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Auckland City.
  • Cup tournament structure in OFC Champions League 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 20%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City PNG Hekari
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs PNG Hekari
2:0
May 14, 2024 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs PNG Hekari
1:0
Mar 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
PNG Hekari vs Auckland City
1:1
Nov 19, 2011 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs PNG Hekari
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

PNG Hekari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 85 / 100
PNG Hekari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City PNG Hekari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City scored in 87% of their last 38 games.

PNG Hekari let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Auckland City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

PNG Hekari lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS PNG Hekari
3 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Auckland City2
Ifira Blackbird0
PNG Hekari1
Tiga Sport0
Final
Auckland City2
PNG Hekari0