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Auckland City vs Takapuna Afc

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Manickum D.
56' Event
de Vries R.
89' Event
Kilkolly A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Auckland City
25%
Draws
35%
Takapuna Afc
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Takapuna Afc on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • Auckland City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 68%
Takapuna Afc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Takapuna Afc
Matches Played 36 1
Wins 24 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.89 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Chatham Cup
Auckland City vs Takapuna Afc
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Manickum D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Vries R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Takapuna Afc Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 95 / 100
Takapuna Afc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Takapuna Afc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland City scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Takapuna Afc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Auckland City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Takapuna Afc
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2
Auckland City
Page 1 of 8

Takapuna Afc

(Away)
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0
Takapuna Afc

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
South Auckland Rangers 0
Auckland City 3
Takapuna Afc 0
Nelson Suburbs FC 5
Northern AFC 0
Auckland United 3
Cambridge 1
Dunedin City Royals 0
Cashmere Technical 9
Island Bay 1
Miramar 3
Melville 0
Hibiscus Coast 1
Petone 0
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Auckland City 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 2
Auckland United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 1
Hibiscus Coast 2
Napier City 5
Semi-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 2
Napier City 1
Final
Fencibles United AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 1