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Auckland City vs Takapuna Afc

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Manickum D.
56' Event
de Vries R.
89' Event
Kilkolly A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Auckland City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auckland City
6%
Draws
4%
Takapuna Afc
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Takapuna Afc on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • Auckland City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 68%
Takapuna Afc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland City Takapuna Afc
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 17 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 3 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Chatham Cup
Auckland City vs Takapuna Afc
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Manickum D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Vries R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Takapuna Afc Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland City 95 / 100
Takapuna Afc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland City Takapuna Afc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland City scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Takapuna Afc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Auckland City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Auckland City VS Takapuna Afc
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland City

(Home)
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0
Takapuna Afc
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 6

Takapuna Afc

(Away)
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0
Takapuna Afc

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC3
South Auckland Rangers0
Auckland City3
Takapuna Afc0
Melville0
Hibiscus Coast1
Petone0
Napier City4
Dunedin City Royals0
Cashmere Technical9
Island Bay1
Miramar3
Nelson Suburbs FC5
Northern AFC0
Auckland United3
Cambridge1
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC-
Auckland City-
Hibiscus Coast-
Napier City-
Cashmere Technical-
Miramar-
Nelson Suburbs FC-
Auckland United-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-