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Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Gillion L.
10' Event
Mesourouni A.
23' Event
Leech C.

AI Match Summary

Auckland FC 2 in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Auckland FC 2
33%
Draws
27%
South Melbourne
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Auckland FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • South Melbourne haven't matched Auckland FC 2's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Auckland FC 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 16%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC 2 South Melbourne
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.2 2
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:2
May 6, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 OFC Pro League
Auckland FC 2 vs South Melbourne
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Auckland FC 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gillion L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.1

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesourouni A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leech C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 2 39 / 100
South Melbourne 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC 2 South Melbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland FC 2's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

South Melbourne let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Auckland FC 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC 2 VS South Melbourne
2.2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
20% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland FC 2

(Home)
24 May
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Auckland FC 2
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
12 May
Auckland FC 2
5 : 2
South Island United
09 May
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
Bula
06 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 2
South Melbourne
Page 1 of 6

South Melbourne

(Away)
18 Jul
South Melbourne
0 : 0
Preston Lions
10 Jul
Dandenong City SC
0 : 2
South Melbourne
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Green Gully
19 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
1 : 5
South Melbourne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League (Losers stage)