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Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix

Australia Australia

A-League Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland FC host Wellington Phoenix in the A-League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Wellington Phoenix have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Auckland FC have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Auckland FC slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:5. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.25) point toward Auckland FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Auckland FC
22%
Draws
18%
Wellington Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Auckland FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland FC have won more games recently than Wellington Phoenix.
  • Win probability leans Auckland FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Auckland FC have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 19%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC
0:5
Dec 6, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix
6:1
Dec 7, 2024 A-League
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 58 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland FC scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Wellington Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Auckland FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC VS Wellington Phoenix
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2
Tottenham
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
02 May
Auckland FC
2 : 1
Melbourne City
Page 1 of 7

Wellington Phoenix

(Away)
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1
Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2
Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Utd00000:00
2Central Coast00000:00
3Newcastle Jets00000:00
4Perth Glory00000:00
5Brisbane Roar00000:00
6Sydney FC00000:00
7Wellington Phoenix00000:00
8Melbourne Victory00000:00
9Melbourne City00000:00
10Western Sydney Wanderers00000:00
11Macarthur FC00000:00
12Auckland FC00000:00
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