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Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auckland FC host Wellington Phoenix in the A-League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Wellington Phoenix have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Auckland FC have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.57. Past meetings favor Auckland FC slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:5. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.33) point toward Auckland FC. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Auckland FC
15%
Draws
51%
Wellington Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Auckland FC average 1.57 goals a game right now, well clear of Wellington Phoenix's 1.33.
  • Win probability leans Auckland FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Auckland FC have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 18%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC
0:5
Dec 6, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix
6:1
Dec 7, 2024 A-League
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland FC 41 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Wellington Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Auckland FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auckland FC VS Wellington Phoenix
1.5 Goals Scored 1.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Auckland FC
1 : 3
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 Aug
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0
Auckland FC
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2
Tottenham
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
Page 1 of 6

Wellington Phoenix

(Away)
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1
Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1
Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2
Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Central Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle Jets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Perth Glory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sydney FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Wellington Phoenix 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Melbourne Victory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Western Sydney Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Macarthur FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Auckland FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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